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. As they have throughout the final homestan

  • May 25, 2017 8:01 AM BST

    Theres been exhaustive talk about the inevitable regression facing the Colorado Avalanche - a team that more or less rode the percentages to an improbable playoff berth last season. Zane Gonzalez Youth Jersey . We no longer approach teams like last years Avalanche club with questions about whether their strategy at even strength - which at least last year, was get out-shot and win regularly - is sustainable for the long-term. The real question is whether teams in these precarious situations can do enough with their current roster to improve on last years performances and hope to mitigate the expected drop-off in point production. Colorados a particularly interesting case for this. The Avalanche may have been treated as a paper tiger all through last year despite their winning ways, but there are legitimate questions about whether player development can stave off some of the expected regression. Optimists point to the collection of young, near-prime talent on the roster which includes Gabriel Landeskog, Matt Duchene and Ryan OReilly. They are three of the leagues better forwards and the team has certainly found their starting goaltender in Semyon Varlamov. Perhaps the most intriguing name on the roster is wunderkind Nathan MacKinnon, who is coming off a brilliant rookie year. The 2013 No. 1 overall pick is an unbelievable combination of speed and versatility and scored at a comparable rate to that of Chicagos Marian Hossa and Philadelphias Claude Giroux last season. Colorado will only rely on him more and his average ice time - which was 17:21 last year - should go up this season. And MacKinnons underlying numbers from his Calder Trophy-winning campaign are fascinating. A good chunk of statistical oddity is tied up in his home and road splits, which were night and day. Like most other players (and teams) around the league, MacKinnon saw a drop-off in his performance on the road. But MacKinnons slide was particularly steep - enough that it should warrant investigation by a team looking to immediately improve their 5-on-5 play next season. To quickly capture MacKinnons drop-off, consider this - no skater that logged more than 500 minutes over the last two seasons saw road depreciation quite like his: MacKinnons Corsi percentage was 18 per cent worse on the road. That was well above the league average, which was about four per cent worse for the same collection of regular skaters. So yes, that drop is a bit out of the norm. Now lets look at a table of some of the other pertinent underlying data for MacKinnon from last season: Im going to touch on most of these metrics individually, but the numbers that should immediately stand out are his team-relative numbers: Relative Corsi Percentage (or the difference in Corsi Percentage a team experiences when a player is on the ice versus off) and Relative Goal Percentage (or the difference in Goal Percentage a team experiences when a player is on the ice versus off). At home, MacKinnon was a positive possession player (3.0 per cent) and significant plus-goal player relative to teammates (9.4 per cent). On the road, MacKinnon was a negative possession player (-3.3 per cent) and floated around the team average in the goal department (0.5 per cent). The raw Corsi For and Corsi Against totals show what kind of trouble MacKinnon ran into on the road. The reality is that MacKinnon and his linemates spent way too much time defending the play. At home, Colorado was +10.8 shot attempts per 60 minutes with MacKinnon on the ice. On the road, that number spiraled to -10.4. The main reason for this insane shot-differential swing is tied up in MacKinnons road Corsi Against per 60 a€“ a number so high, only three forwards (Torontos James van Riemsdyk and Tyler Bozak, and Buffalos Tyler Ennis) finished worse. Those ugly road shot differentials led to even uglier goal differentials, as noted in the Goals For/Goals Against rows. For every 60 minutes played at home with MacKinnon on the ice, Colorado was +0.7 in the goal column. For every 60 minutes played on the road with MacKinnon on the ice, Colorado was -0.6 in the goal column. Its for those reasons that I found MacKinnons zone start numbers in the initial table interesting. While MacKinnon enjoyed some favorable zone start situations on home ice, he was in more of a defensive role on the road. His raw offensive zone start percentages dropped 5.52 per cent and the percentage of offensive-zone draws he took relative to his teammates actually swung into the negatives. The drop in offensive zone starts meant less offensive opportunity immediately following the restart of play for MacKinnon. I was curious about whether MacKinnon was getting burned by a particular aspect of the zone starts beyond just opening more in the defensive zone last year. So I decided to pull out his Corsi Percentage data in the 30-second window following every draw he was on the ice for last year, then splitting by the outcome of that draw (i.e. win/loss) and venue (i.e. home/road). Was it possible that MacKinnons underlying numbers were getting dinged by something immediately off of the draw? Theres not much difference there. I think its safe to say that MacKinnons raw drop in zone starts a€“ combined with a slight uptick in competition, team effects, and the assortment of subtleties that make road hockey difficult for all (e.g. long change, general risk aversion) a€“ were the contributors behind his slide, as opposed to a singular aspect of the game where MacKinnon really deteriorated. The mere fact MacKinnon was able to have such an explosive season as an 18-year-old is enormously impressive; most players his age are shielded altogether from NHL competition and the few who do get minutes generally sink before they swim. MacKinnon may have looked like a boy amongst men at times on the road last season, but the opposite was true at the Pepsi Center. That part shouldnt be ignored. But for now, the MacKinnon question is an avenue worthy of further investigation. Howard Wilson Womens Jersey .com) - Oklahoma quarterback Trevor Knight was carted off the field in the fourth quarter of 16th-ranked Sooners 48-14 loss to No. Myles Garrett Youth Jersey . Torres tells Spanish daily AS "in football you never know where you will be inside one month. Im going to work hard, thats all you can do with this last part of the season so important. NEW YORK -- All thats left for Derek Jeter to do is say goodbye. Right now, though, the captain is still stewing over a lost season. New York was eliminated from playoff contention Wednesday, wasting a three-run lead in a 9-5 loss to Nelson Cruz and the AL East champion Baltimore Orioles. "Its tough. Its what you play for. Its a rough feeling," Jeter said. Jeter went 0 for 4 as the designated hitter in his next-to-last game home game, ending a seven-game hitting streak and dropping his average to .253. The Yankees (81-77) missed the playoffs in consecutive years for the first time since 1992 and 93. The only other time New York did not play in the post-season during in the retiring captains 20-season big league career was in 2008. "Its disappointing. Its frustrating," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "This is not where you want to be at this time of year." When Jeter is lauded by fans Thursday night -- weather permitting. Theres rain in the forecast -- for a career that included five of New Yorks 27 World Series titles, he will be playing his first game in the Bronx that has no implications on his teams playoff chances. (Jeter was out with an injury last year). "For the guys that are coming back and the team that plays its a feeling you shouldnt like and you shouldnt want to get used to," Jeter said. Baltimore remained 2 1/2 games behind the Los Angeles Angels, who beat Oakland 5-4, in the race for the ALs best record and home-field advantage throughout the post-season. Manager Buck Showalter sees Thursday night festivities as good preparation. "Not everywhere you play in the post-season is going to be a friendly environment," he said, "so it is good to have that kind of emotion going on before you get there." Cruz had two of his four singles and slugger Adam Jones a safety squeeze in a six-run fourth for Baltimore. As they have throughout the final homestand, fans stood, cheered and chanted "De-rek Je-ter!" for each of the captains at-bats during a rare September mid-week afternoon game. Even though Jeter was the designated hitter, the Bleacher Creatures included Jeter in the first-inning roll call. Jeter wasnt in the dugout to acknowledge them with the customary wave. Jeter was given an extended ovation after he tapped out to first base in the eighth but he remained seated in the dugout and did not come out for the curtain call. Zane Gonzalez Browns Jersey. The game ended when Brett Gardner struck out looking with Jeter on deck. "The game wasnt over. We were trying to come back," Jeter said of the eighth. "You cant help but notice. I catch myself looking around sometimes and Ive always tried not to do that but Ive caught myself a couple of times." Bud Norris (15-8) fell behind 3-0 despite getting seven of his first nine outs by strikeout. He allowed a leadoff homer in the second to Stephen Drew then fanned five straight, a string stopped in the third inning with Chase Headleys long ball. Norris allowed three runs and five hits in six innings and struck out nine. Shane Greene (5-4) loaded the bases in the third but got Jones to ground into an inning-ending forceout. The rookie had no such success in the fourth inning, when the Orioles sent 11 men to the plate and scored three times with two outs. Mark Teixeira had an RBI double and two-run homer for New York. TRAINERS ROOM Orioles: Showalter said he exchanged texts with suspended 1B Chris Davis. Serving a 25-game ban following a positive test for an amphetamine, Davis reported to the Orioles complex in Sarasota, Florida, and will play in instructional games. Davis could return late in the post-season. Yankees: Girardi said Carlos Beltran (elbow) will not play the rest of the season. He will monitor Jacoby Ellsbury (hamstring) but it seems unlikely he will play in Boston. UP NEXT Baltimores RHP Kevin Gausman (7-7) and New Yorks RHP Hiroki Kuroda (11-9) are scheduled starters in the series finale. EAST BEAST Norris improved to 9-1 against the division in 14 starts, and Baltimore is 13-1 in those games. STARRY FAREWELL Stars were out to say goodbye to Jeter, though. Former teammates Tino Martinez, Gerald Williams and Cecil Fielder were on hand as was Mo Vaughn, the 1995 AL MVP with Boston. Willie Randolph, a former Yankees co-captain and coach, caught a foul ball behind home plate. NO CHEAP SEATS Tickets for Jeters final home game on the secondary market are going from $248 in the bleachers up to $10K in section 19, right next to the Yankees dugout. NO MORE HITS Louisville Slugger said in a news release it is retiring model number P72, the bat Jeter has used for his entire career. It will be renamed DJ2. Cheap NFL JerseysCheap NFL Jerseys China Cheap Jerseys From China Cheap NFL Jerseys Authentic Wholesale Jerseys China Cheap NFL Jerseys China NFL Cheap Jerseys Cheap NFL Jerseys ' ' '